By supplying the missiles for the attack on Israel from Gaza and being a supporter of troubles in Yemen and elsewhere, Iran's Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC) is posting a renewed desire to become a major military power, but why. If their intent is to destabilise their region by antagonising Israel into rash (or deliberate?) actions, then the strike on the Iranian consulate in Syria seems to suggest their aim(s) are being achieved.
Israel may have realised the back-room role Iran is playing in the region, but it seems very doubtful their partial withdrawal from Gaza will assuage anyone's annoyance now, nor hint at what comes next, especially so after Hezbollah attacks from Lebanon into the Golan Heights made Israel invade there too, killing many high ranking Hezbollah just as Benjamin Netanyahu asked the Lebanese to help his forces rid themselves of Iran sponsored Hezbollah. That request fell on deaf ears, but the elimination of many Hezbollah leaders will dampen their regional effectiveness and their ability to expedite Iran's desire that Israel dies by a thousand cuts, without openly revealing their long term "gameplay"
Iran's earlier attack on a supposed Israeli "spy headquarters" in northern Iraq and similar aggressions upon Syria and Pakistan (who retaliated of course) revealed their latest desire to become a more significant geopolitical influencer of the middle east, though striking a US military area inside Iraq which killed Americans was ill-advised and must stop if shit is not to hit their fan. Iran is showing off to their regional pals at the moment, hoping for an alliance against Israel, which is perhaps what the original Gaza/Hamas attack was really about?
Update 14th Apr 2024: Having built tension(s) in the area over many months following the missile strikes and incursion into Israel, with murder and kidnappings, Iran and Israel finally came to blows. These former allies (until 1979) have been bickering for years, but why has
Iran attacked Israel?
Israel seems to have been played like a fiddle; having been goaded into an over-the-top response to the "Palestinian" invasion from Gaza they have brought upon themselves global condemnation, enough for the self-appointed regional "white knight" (Iran) to feel justified in now "reprimanding" Israel. This is bad news, but possibly the fulfilment of "someone's" desire for instability in the region, for the long-term eradication of Israel.
Iran seemingly wants war with Israel, with a view to supremacy in the middle east, but US President Biden's condemnation of this
brazen act in which over
300 cruise missiles were inbound for Israel will be ignored (for now) by Iran, for Israel has thus far done little more than put themselves on
military high alert, choosing to savour their (inevitable) response and it's consequence(s). They are happy to promote the "success" of their
defence systems, though it is telling that the USA had the intelligence to warn Israel, yet has refused to be involve in any
retaliatory strike(s), the first of which occurred on
Thursday 18th April 2024 when Israel (alone) executed a missile strike onto an Iranian town hosting a major airbase and large missile production complexes.
This war is official, we are seeing the first act of a simmering play and nothing good will come of it; Israel have been goaded into a long-term regional conflict and are being "played" into a war, starting with Lebanon's Hezbollah. (What is Hezbollah in Lebanon?)
 |
|
Howsoever this regional scenario was engineered, Iran appear to be in their enterprise for a long haul, for not only are they targeting mainland Israel, they seems to desire a de-facto embargo of goods into Israel (as was applied to those undergoing a genocide in Gaza), for Iranian forces have begun to
seize Israel-linked ships.
Iran's aspirations seems set without major internal changes, so at this time (May 2024) one has to ask, was the
death of Iran's President Ebrahim Raisi, in a mysterious helicopter, an accident or engineered? Is his death the first step to change in Iran or merely the consolidation of political controls to the supreme leader
Ali Khameei? Time will tell ........
Update 6th Jul 2024: The electorate spoke and reformer
Massoud Pezeshkian was elected to be the the new president of Iran (not the ultimate voice there), possibly signposting Iran's internal reviewing of their standing and responsibilities in that region.
Update 3rd Aug 2024: Whatever Iran's aims or expectations are in their region, they seem keen to keep swimming in deep waters, for such is their proxy war efforts against Israel in particular that the USA has been triggered into an
overt stance in the region, ostensibly in support of Israel who they condemn for the genocide ongoing in Gaza. Such is the region's dogma on many "sides" that all parties argue their greater "rights" and continue to kill, subjugate, terrify, curtail or ruin the aspiration of millions of innocents to just live a "normal" life, unfettered by political, religious, power-hungry war-mongers.
Update 25th Oct 2024: This is it then, Israel has
spoken and struck out directly and decisively at Iran who can no longer skulk in the shadows of their mercenary's actions. They are being called out by Israel and it's time for them to put-up or shut-up. To escalate or not. Whatever they wish(ed) for in that region is now becoming the main event.
Update 10th Oct 2024: With the sudden overthrow of the Syrian dictatorship of Assad and the decimation of Hezbollah's leadership by Israeli actions, there will be an unstable power vacuum, meaning Iran must now be overt or retiring in its stance toward Israel, as its regional aspirations seem to be
shattering. They may also need to come to terms with a wide-spread simmering resentment of Iran's national mismanagement amongst its population.
